BACKGROUND COLOUR

To grow, or not to grow

Analysis
. .
07 Aug 2021
Based on the work of
Nicholas Biddle

Concerns about the practical impact of an increased population dominate the reasons some people don't want a bigger Australian population. Australians need to be convinced that traffic and house prices won't increase unduly, that there will be limited effects on the environment, and that Australia’s existing workforce will still receive adequate training.

89 %

Nearly 90% of those who don’t want a bigger population are concerned about the cost of housing being too high.

85 %

85% of those who don’t support more people are concerned about cities already being too crowded.

58 %

More than half of those who think Australia needs more people say it would mean more cultural diversity.

70 %

There was broad support for a requirement that new migrants live outside capital cities for a period of time.

Reasons for Increasing Australia's Population
Please indicate the extent to which you agree or disagree with each statement as a reason for increasing Australia's population.
Sources & Methodology
Variable description By level of agreement
Variable time span 2018
Published by ANU Poll
Publisher Link https://csrm.cass.anu.edu.au/research/publications/big-australia-small-australia-diverse-australia-australia-s-views-population
Data Source doi:10.26193/IRSDS8
CSV Data
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The cost of housing being too high and concerns cities are too crowded with too much traffic are the top two reasons cited for not increasing the number of people coming to Australia.

The cost of housing being too high and concerns cities are too crowded with too much traffic are the top two reasons cited for not increasing the number of people coming to Australia. Both had support over 80 per cent (89 per cent and 85 per cent respectively).

They also thought that increasing fertility or migration rates could help counteract the aging of the population.

Reasons for NOT Increasing Australia's Population
Please indicate the extent to which you agree or disagree with each statement as a reason for NOT increasing Australia's population.
Sources & Methodology
Variable description By level of agreement
Variable time span 2018
Published by ANU Poll
Publisher Link https://csrm.cass.anu.edu.au/research/publications/big-australia-small-australia-diverse-australia-australia-s-views-population
Data Source doi:10.26193/IRSDS8
CSV Data
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On the other side of the debate, those who favour a bigger population cite needing more cultural diversity and the need for skilled migrants for the workforce as the top reasons.

On the other side of the debate, those who favour a bigger population cite needing more cultural diversity and the need for skilled migrants for the workforce as the top reasons. Interestingly, support for those two notions (at 58 per cent and 53 per cent) was not as strong as the top reasons for not increasing the population. Those who don't want more people also strongly thought (with 82 per cent support) that Australia should train its own skilled workers rather than importing them.

Concerns about the environmental impact of a bigger population were also supported by more than half of those who don't want more people. The reasons cover stress on the natural environment of the current population size, concerns about having enough water and the difficulty in cutting greenhouse gas emissions.

Reasons for not increasing Australia’s population, 2010 and 2018 for those who said Australia does not need more people
Please indicate the extent to which you agree or disagree with each statement as a reason for NOT increasing Australia's population.
Sources & Methodology
Variable description By per cent who 'agreed' or 'strongly agreed'
Variable time span 2018
Published by ANU Poll
Publisher Link https://csrm.cass.anu.edu.au/research/publications/big-australia-small-australia-diverse-australia-australia-s-views-population
Data Source doi:10.26193/IRSDS8
CSV Data
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While the environmental pressures are still significant concerns, the numbers who are worried have actually fallen since the question was last asked in 2010.

While the environmental pressures are still significant concerns, the numbers who are worried have actually fallen since the question was last asked in 2010. The biggest drop was in those who agree Australia might not have enough water for more people.

The largest increase over the eight years was in those who believe that the cities are already too crowded with too many people. While the number of people who want a bigger population did fall between 2010 and 2018, the reasons for wanting more people changed very little.

As to potential policy solutions to the concerns about increased population, 70 per cent of those surveyed agreed that new migrants be required to live in regional towns or cities for a period of time, although those who live outside capital cities were slightly less supportive of the idea than those who live in capital cities.